Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Not Such A Dull Bet Now


A couple of weeks ago, myself and Greg, on fantasy football podcast, were discussing certain bets that people could and should have a flutter on and, if anyone was listening, you will remember that I put forward one of the dullest bets known to man, yes, it was an alright bet at the time but not the kind of bet you discuss on a podcast where you are trying to entertain and keep peoples attention. Well, let me tell you that bet has got a little bit more juicy. When I first discussed the bet Arsenal were 9/2 to win the premiership but now they are 8/1. 'Okay, Jack,' you must be saying, 'there is a reason they are 8/1, they are not in the race, there is a reason why Chelsea are 5/6 and United are 6/5.' But if you look at the current standings, along with the final run in of games, I definetly see Arsenal finishing closer than people think. Here are the current standings

1. Chelsea 26 58
2. Man Utd 26 57
3. Arsenal 26 52
4. Liverpool 26 44
5. Man City 24 44

Now we can all see, yeah, Arsenal are 6 points behind Chelsea, now, that seems a mountain to climb but in this season a lot weirder has happened, top teams have been dropping points left, right and centre against lower teams except Arsenal. If my memory serves me correctly Arsenal have been only dropping points against the top five teams, with exception to their 1-0 defeat to Sunderland back in November there are very little slip ups, not only that but they have been beating the lower team by very handsome margins. Now, if you have a look at Arsenal's final 12 league games of the season, it looks very encouraging as you compare them to Chelsea & Uniteds.

Chelsea............Man Utd............Arsenal

Wolves.............Everton............Sunderland
Man City...........West Ham...........Stoke
Portsmouth.........Wolves.............Burnley
West Ham...........Fulham.............Hull
Blackburn..........Liverpool..........West Ham
Aston Villa........Bolten.............Birmingham
Man Utd............Chelsea............Wolves
Bolten.............Blackburn..........Tottenham
Tottenham..........Man City...........Wigan
Stoke..............Tottenham..........Man City
Liverpool..........Sunderland.........Blackburn
Wigan..............Stoke..............Fulham

You cannot deny that that run of games looks a lot more appealing than the others and you have to expect with the exception of the Man City game (for the simple reason that they have lost 4-2 and 3-0 to Man City this season already), that they would get something from all of those games and if you do the maths, they are gonna come closer to Chelsea & Man Utd than everyone think. My money is on Arsenal, 8/1 I believe is a good bet, I think its worth ten or twenty quid as the season goes into the home straight. So, to the woolshed with me for the remainder of the season.

Also get on Notts County at 5/1 who are 9 points off the top of League 2 with, wait for it, 6 games at hand and Lee Hughes is only bangin them in - GO ON COUNTY!

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